Roobab fudfudud ayaa lagu arkayaa inay ka sii socdaan dhawr meelood oo ku kala durdurugsa gudaha dalka oo idil intii lagu jirey dhawrkii maalmood oo dambe. Saadaasha roob-di’idda la isugeeyey ee saddexda maalmood oo soo scota waxay muujineysaa koror la filayo oo roob-di’id ah gaar ahaan gudaha gobollada Soomaaliya ee Mudug, Galguduud, Hiiraan, Bay iyo Bakool iyo Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya. Xaddiga roobabka waxaa la filayaa inn uu ku sii faafo bed/masaaxad ahaan iyo tiro ahaan markii toddobaadku sii socdo oo loo gudbo toddobada maalmood ee saadaasha roob-di’idda. Sidaa awgeed, heerarka webiga ayaa la filayaa inay sii kordhaan taaasoo ku keeni karta halis fatahaad bartamaha iyo dhanka hoose ee labada webi Jubba iyo Shabeelle ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka. Daadadka ayaa sidoo kale laga yaabaa inay ka dhacaan meelaha ay saadaashu ku tilmaameyso roob-di’id badan.

During the week ending on 13 November 2017, the Juba and Shabelle river basins experienced heavy rains both inside Somalia and within the Ethiopian highlands.  In Bay region, Qansax Dheere and Dinsor stations recorded a total of 426mm and 376mm respectively while Baidoa town received 125mm in the last 10 days. The heavy rains consequently led to increased river levels causing riverine flooding in sections of the rivers and flash floods elsewhere. The upper parts of the Ethiopian highlands continued to receive good rains during the same period. Map - 1 shows the total satellite Rainfall Estimates (RFE) which also indicates heavy amounts of rainfall in the basins. The rainfall forecast for the coming week indicates a significant reduction of rainfall amounts both in the Ethiopian highlands and inside Somalia. Following the heavy rains seen in the last week, the levels along the two rivers rose significantly and are currently above normal at this time of the year. However, this is expected to stabilize towards the end of the week given the rainfall forecast. There remains a high risk of flooding along the middle and lower reaches of Juba and Shabelle Rivers.

The last 24 hours have seen moderate to heavy rains in many parts of the central and southern regions. Today morning, Baidoa and Bulo Burti stations recorded the highest amounts of 124mm and 119mm respectively. Other stations that recorded heavy rains include Bardheere (65mm), Wanle Weyne (52mm), and Mataban (40mm) among others. Heavy rains in Baidoa town and the surroundings led to flash floods and destruction of property. The heavy rains are expected to continue in the next seven days. River levels are expected to continue rising with a moderate to high risk of flooding along the Juba and Shabelle Rivers. Flash floods may also occur in areas where the forecast indicates high rainfall.

The last few days continued to record good rains in many parts of the southern and central regions of Somalia while the northern regions remained relatively dry. The good rains are expected to continue in the next seven days. With a reduction of intensity and spatial distribution towards the end of the week. River levels are expected to continue rising with a moderate to high risk of flooding along the Juba and Shabelle Rivers. Flash floods may also occur in areas where the forecast indicates high rainfall.

Roobab fudud ilaa kuwo dhexdhexaad ayaa sii socday guud ahaan dalka iyo meelo badan oo gobollada koonfureed ah oo laga diiwaaniye roobab ilaa xad fiican. Roobab culculus ayaa la saadaalinayaa toddobaadka soo socda dhexdhiisa (Khariidadda 2) inay ka da’aan gobollada koonfurta iyo bartamaha Soomaaliya. Buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya ayaa sidoo kale la filayaa in ay hesho roobab culculus inta lagu jiro toddobaadka la saadaalinayo. Iyadoo la tixgelinayo saadaasha roob-di’idda, heerarka webiga ayaa la filayaa in ay kor u kacaan oo ay ku sababaan ilaa dhammaadka toddobaadka halis fatahaado dhexdhexaad ilaa kuwo sare gudaha deegaannada dhexe iyo kuwa hoose ee Webiga Shabeelle.

The three day cumulated rainfall forecast is pointing towards light to moderate rains in scattered areas of the country and this is expected to increase in quantity and space as the week progresses, given the one week forecast. Light rains are also expected in the upper parts of Ethiopian highlands whose rainfall contribute significantly to the river flow in Somalia. River levels in the middle reach of Shabelle are currently high with a high risk of flooding in Jowhar and its environs.

Saadaasha Roob-di’dda la isu geeyey saddexda maalmood waxay tilmaamaysaa in Gobollada Dhexe iyo kuwa Koofureed ee dalka ay roobabku ay u socon doonaan kuwo fudud ilaa dhexdhexaad sidaas oo kale buuraleyda sare ee Itoobiya waxaana la filayaa in uu kordho xaddigi iyo baaxad ahaan inta toddobaadku socdo, sida lagu muujiyey. Qaybaha Galbeed ee Soomaaliland iyo qaybaha koonfureed ee Soomaaliya oo ku jiraan Jubada Hoose, Shabeelaha Hoose iyo Shabeellaha Dhexe waa ay qalalnaan doonaan inta lagu jiro muddada la saadaalinayo. Heerarka webiga dhulka bartamaha Shabeelle hadda kor ayey u kacsan yihiin oo waxaa ka jira halis xoogan oo fatahaad gudaha Jowhar iyo deegaannadeeda.

The three days cumulated rainfall forecast is pointing towards light rains in the southern regions bordering Kenya and Scattered places in Somaliland. Light rains are also expected in parts of Bari region of in the north within the three days. The one week forecast is calling for increased rains in Somaliland and the upper parts of the Juba and Shabelle basins within the Ethiopian highlands. River levels in the middle reach of Shabelle are currently high with a moderate risk of flooding in Jowhar and the environs given the rainfall forecast.

Saadaasha Roob-di’dda la isu geeyey saddexda maalmood (Khariidadda 1) waxay tilmaamaysaa in gobollada Koonfureed ee xuduudka la leh Kenya meelo ka tagtagsan oo ku yaal Soomaaliland ay heli doonaan roobab fudfudud. Waxaa sidoo kale saddex beri gudahooda laga filayaa roobab fudfudud qaybo ka tirsan gobolka Bari ee xagga Waqooyi. Saadaasha hal toddobaad (Khariidadda 2) waxay sheegaysaa roobab kordhaya gudaha Soomaaliland iyo qaybaha sare dooxooyinka Juba iyo Shabeelle ee gudaha buuraleyda saree e Itoobiya. Heerarka webiga dhulka bartamaha Shabeellehadda kor ayey u kacsan yihiin oo waxaa ka jira halis fatahaad oo dhexdhexaad ah gudaha Jowhar iyo deegaannada lagu xusay saadaasha roob-di’idda.

Light to moderate rains continued in some places across the country with the southern regions recording relatively good rains in many places. Heavy rains are foreseen in the coming week in South and central regions of Somalia. The Ethiopian highlands are also expected to get heavy rains within the forecast week. Given the rainfall forecast, the river levels are expected to rise and causing moderate to high risk of flooding in Middle and lower reaches of Shabelle River towards the end of the week.