Over the coming week, light to moderate rainfall is expected across much of Somalia, with moderate totals of 50–100 mm mainly over parts of the Shabelle basin, coastal southern Somalia, and localized areas of Sool, Nugaal, Sanaag, and Mudug, though dry pockets receiving less than 1 mm are likely in parts of Awdal, Woqooyi Galbeed, Togdheer, Bari, Bakool, Gedo, and the Jubas. No widespread heavy rainfall is forecast; however, rainfall over the Shabelle catchment and upstream Ethiopia may sustain already elevated river levels from Belet Weyne to Jowhar and beyond. Maximum temperatures will range between 30–40°C across most areas, with above-40°C heat confined to localized parts of northern Iskushuban and southern Qandala in Bari. While recent and forecast rains may support localized recovery, uneven distribution, elevated Shabelle flood risk, and lagging livelihoods mean that both drought impacts and riverine flood risk will persist.