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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 01-10-2015

The Deyr 2015 rains have started in some parts of Somalia. In the coming three days, most parts of the country will continue to receive light to moderate rains. Moderate to heavy rains are foreseen in the Ethiopian highlands during in the coming three days.

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Somalia Dekadal Rainfall Bulletin - Dekad 30 2015

During the third dekad of October, (21st – 31st October 2015), wet conditions persisted in southern and central parts of the country with some parts of these regions experiencing flash floods. The north western parts remained dry throughout the month of October. Figure (1) shows the rainfall observational network and monthly rainfall distribution for selected stations across the country. The table below is a brief summary of the rainfall situation by region for this dekad. This update will be issued every 10-days throughout the Gu rainy season.

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Dekadal Rainfall Update

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 26-10-2015

Heavy rains are expected to continue in the Ethiopian highlands, Hiraan, Middle Shabelle, Galgaduud and Mudug regions in the coming three days. Other areas that may record moderate rains include parts of Lower Shabelle, Bakool and Bay regions. The northern pats of the country and the Juba valley may record little or no rains during the same period.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 19-10-2015

The forecast for the next three days points towards increased rains in most parts of Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands. However, light rains are forecasted for Lower Juba and the Bari regions during the same period.

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SWALIM Update Issue 9

We are pleased to share Issue 9 of our newsletter “SWALIM Update” for the period May 2015 - August 2015. This issue of the newsletter provides updates on SWALIM water and land information management activities such as: What El Nino Means for Somalia, Empowering Women in Somalia with Information Management Skills, SWALIM Information Days in Somaliland and Puntland, Using Remote Sensing for Monitoring, Hydrogeology Study in Ceel Waaq District, Study on Flood and Irrigation Control Systems in Middle Shabelle and Data Centres in Mogadishu.

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Newsletter

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 03-11-2015

Light rains spread across many southern and central parts of Somalia are expected in the next three days. The northern parts of the country are expected to receive moderate rains over the same period, with few pockets in Togdheer and Bari regions experiencing high rainfall of up to 100mm which can lead to flash floods. The upper catchment of the Shabelle River in Ethiopia will receive high rains as well, which translates to increase in river levels later in the week.

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Flood Watch Bulletin 27-10-2015

The rainfall forecast for the coming week indicates heavy rains within the two basins both inside Somalia and Ethiopian highlands. Heavy rains are also expected in Banadir, Galgaduud, Mudug and parts of Nugaal, sool, Sanaag and Toghdheer regions with a possibility of flash floods in these areas. River levels in the middle and lower reaches of Shabelle River are currently at full crest in some sections of the river. Given the rainfall forecast and the current river levels, there is a high risk level of flooding along the middle and lower reaches of Shabelle. A Moderate risk of flooding is foreseen in the lower reaches of Juba River especially in locations where there exists open river breakages.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 21-10-2015

The forecast for the next three days points towards increased rains in the Shabelle basin inside Somalia, the Ethiopian highlands as well as the central parts of the country . The North western parts may also record moderate rains while the lower parts of Juba and north eastern parts may receive light rains within the same period.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 07-10-2015

The Deyr 2015 rains have started in some parts of Somalia. The upper parts of the Ethiopian highlands, Lower Juba region and north eastern parts of Somalia are expected to receive light to moderate rains within the next three days. Other parts of Somalia and the lower parts of the Ethiopian highland will receive little or no rains during the same period.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 28-10-2015

Heavy rains are expected to continue in the Ethiopian highlands and most parts of Somalia except Awdal, Bari, Nugaal and Mudug regions. Toghdheer, Bay and Lower Shabelle regions are expected to receive the highest amounts which may lead to flash floods and river floods in respective areas.

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Flood Watch Bulletin 21-10-2015

The Deyr 2015 rainy season started well in many parts of Somalia and has been increasing in space and intensity over the past few days within the Juba and Shabelle river basins both in Somalia and in the Ethiopian highlands. River levels in the upstream stations along the Juba and Shabelle (Luuq and Belet Weyne respectively) continued to increase over the last week. The levels in the middle and lower reaches of Shabelle River are currently high. Given the current river levels and the current rainfall forecast (which indicates heavy rains within the Shabelle basin both in Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands; moderate rains expected in the Juba basin inside Somalia; heavy rains in the highlands and the coastal areas of Banadir, Middle Shabelle and Galgaduud), there is a moderate flood risk level along the middle and lower reaches of Shabelle while there is no foreseen risk of flooding along the Juba in the coming week.

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Flood watch bulletin

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 12-10-2015

Scattered light to moderate rains are expected across the Juba and Shabelle river basins inside Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands. The rains extend to the central parts of the country, Nugaal and Sool Regions, while in the extreme north regions there will be minimal rainfall activity in the coming three days.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 30-10-2015

Moderate to heavy rains are expected to continue in the Ethiopian highlands and most parts of Somalia except Awdal, Bari, Nugaal and Mudug regions. Flash flood may be experienced in a few places within Bay, Bakool and Gedo regions following the foreseen heavy rains in the area.

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Somalia Rainfall Forecast 30-09-2015

The Deyr 2015 rains have started in some parts of Somalia. In the coming three days, most parts of central regions are expected to receive rainfall totals of up to 20mm while the rest of the country will receive either little or no rains during the same period.

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W-26 Hydrogeological Study in Ceel Waaq District, Gedo Region, Somalia

The study demonstrates the validity of using Landsat imagery to delineate fracture zones, hence areas of relatively higher groundwater potential. Recharge water is channeled along regional fractures that enhance hydraulic connectivity hence higher fluxes along these lineaments. The identification of the nearest lineaments to each village was done with the help of automatically generated lineaments and manual tracing on satellite imagery, to select potential geophysical survey sites within a 2-kilometer radius of each village.

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Technical report

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Status of River Breakages - Juba - August 2015

The Deyr 2015 (September to December) rainfall forecast points towards enhanced rainfall activities due to the foreseen El Nino event taking place in the region. The foreseen enhanced rains are likely to exacerbate the situation. Consequently, poor river embankments are likely to cause flooding, there are currently 47 open points along the Juba. Several other points with potential of breaking have been identified.

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Map

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SWALIM

Status of River Breakages - Shabelle - August 2015

The Deyr 2015 (September to December) rainfall forecast points towards enhanced rainfall activities due to the foreseen El Nino event taking place in the region. The foreseen enhanced rains are likely to exacerbate the situation. Consequently, poor river embankments are likely to cause flooding, there are currently 21 open points along the Shabelle river. Several other points with potential of breaking have been identified as shown in this map.

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Map

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SWALIM

The El nino phenomenon Infograph

An El Niño state occurs when the central and eastern equatorial Pacific sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) are substantially higher than usual. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) defines an El Niño event when the NIÑO 3.4 area has sea-surface temperatures at least 0.5 ºC higher than normal for five consecutive three-month-averaged periods. During the last 25 years, Somalia has been affected by six moderate-to-strong El Niño events: 1991-2, 1994-5, 1997-8, 2002-3, 2006-7, and 2009-10 in which floods of different magnitudes were reported. The 1997/98 was the strongest followed by that of 2006.

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Infograph

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SWALIM

Flood Preparedness Information Leaflet - Somali Version

Fatahaaduhu waxay dhici karaan wakhti kaste iyo meel kaste.Waxayna u dhaci karaan si deg deg ah.Marka haddii aad ku nooshahay meel biyo u dhow ama meel kalaba, waa in aad u diyaargarowdaa.Halkan waxa ku jira waxyaabo muuhiim ah si aad ugu diyaargaroobi kartid.

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Brochure

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SWALIM

Deyr 2015 Rainfall Outlook

The Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) has confirmed that El Nino conditions have intensified and will affect the region during the September to December rainy season. The El Nino event is likely to lead to a wetter than normal Deyr season in parts of the country. This is a probabilistic forecast designed for a regional audience that addresses the cumulative rainfall forecast over the four‐month period from (September to December 2015). The rainfall pattern may vary from place to place with the areas expected to receive high rains experiencing periods of dry spells and areas expected to receive low rains experiencing heavy storms.

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Rainfall Outlook

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SWALIM

World Water Week Report 2015

Water is crucial for human sustenance, health and dignity; as a driver for business; for food and energy security; and for the ecosystems upon which our societies and continued development depend. For this report, we have invited a wide range of experts with different perspectives on water and development to share their thinking and propose new avenues for development. The topics addressed in the report include, among several others: the MDG progress and the future SDGs and the role of water in (and for) them; the need for more reduction of risks and disasters for improved water security; and the role of Information Communications Technology (ICT) for water and development. You can also read about the corporate perspective on water and development; as well as the important role of improved use of rain to provide for increased food security and poverty reduction in sub-Saharan Africa. At the core of SIWI’s work is sharing research results and knowledge. Our goal is that SIWI’s reports will enlighten and inspire the global discussion about water and development issues, thus helping to build a water wise world.

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Somalia Dekadal Rainfall Bulletin - Dekad 15 2015 (31-05-2015)

During the third dekad of May 2015 (21st – 31st), there was a slight increase of rainfall activities from the previous dekad across the country with most stations recording normal to below normal rains during the month of May.

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Dekadal Rainfall Update

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Somalia Flood Watch Bulletin - (09-06-2015)

During the week ending on 8th June 2015, there was minimal rainfall activity within the Juba and Shabelle river basins inside Somalia and light to moderate rains within the Ethiopian highlands. Most stations recorded no rains. The rainfall forecast for the coming week is pointing towards a further reduction of rains within the Juba and Shabelle river basins with lights rains expected in the coastal areas of the basins. The river levels along the two rivers fluctuated during the past week and are currently within the normal range at this time of the year. Given the rainfall forecast and the low river levels, there is no foreseen risk of flooding along the two rivers in the coming week.

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Flood watch bulletin

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GU 2015 Rainfall Performance - 25-06-2015

The GU 2015 rainy season started off early in many parts of the country in the third dekad of March and continued to spread spatially in the first and second dekads of April. The season was generally good in most parts of the country, with many places recording normal to above normal rains. The good rains led to improved water availability and favorable soil moisture conditions for both crop and pasture growth. However some parts of the country experienced floods, displacement of people, destruction of property and infrastructure and loss of livestock. The rains ended early in the south and central parts of the country – a cause for concern in the agriculture and livestock sectors. For more details in the season rainfall performance as well as the impacts, please see the attached bulletin

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Rainfall Performance

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Somalia Dekadal Rainfall Bulletin - Dekad 16 2015 (11-06-2015)

During the first dekad of June 2015 (1st – 10th), there was a decrease of rainfall activities from the previous dekad across the country with moderate rains being recorded in parts of the northern regions and no rainfall in the southern and central parts of the country. Figure (1) shows the rainfall observational network and monthly rainfall distribution for selected stations across the country. The table below is a brief summary of the rainfall situation by region for this dekad. This update will be issued every 10-days throughout the Gu rainy season.

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Dekadal Rainfall Update

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